Showing posts with label earthquake. Show all posts
Showing posts with label earthquake. Show all posts

Friday, January 20, 2023

Ancient seismology and Chinese polymath Zhang Heng

Detail of linocut 'Zhang Heng' by Ele Willoughby, 2023 on 9" x 12" washi paper. 

This is a linocut print about the ancient Chinese Han Dynasty polymath and statesman Zhang Heng (78-139) who invented a device (a seismoscope, like a simplified seismometer which does not make a record of earth motions) to detect distant earthquakes and indicate their direction, 2000 years ago! I have shown him in blue with a reconstruction of his seismoscope, and a schematic of how it might have worked in bronze, as well as horizontal earthquake surface waves, and Rayleigh waves in particular, in pale pink.

A career civil servant in Nanyang, Zhang Heng (sometimes formerly written Chang Heng) was also an astronomer, mathematician, seismologist, hydraulic engineer, inventor, geographer, cartographer, ethnographer, artist, poet, philosopher, politician, and literary scholar. He was a bit of a controversial figure politically, sparing over calendar reform and with rivals amongst the palace eunuchs. But both his poetry and famous inventions are still remembered. He also improved the Chinese approximation for π and made an extensive star catalog. He understood that the Sun and Moon are spherical, and that the Moon merely reflects the light of the Sun. He also explained the nature of solar and lunar eclipses. He invented the world's first water-powered armillary sphere for astronomical observation; improved the inflow water clock by adding another tank; and, as celebrated here, he invented the world's first seismoscope, which recorded distant earthquakes and their origin (in terms of 8 cardinal directions).

China is a seismically active place, and while the cause of earthquakes remained misunderstood, in 132 Zhang Heng was able to design a device to detect seismicity from distant sources. It was named "earthquake weathervane" (hòufēng dìdòngyí 候風地動儀), and it could roughly indicate where the earthquake came from. According to the Book of Later Han (compiled by Fan Ye in the 5th century), his bronze urn-shaped device, with a swinging pendulum inside, was able to detect the direction of an earthquake hundreds of miles/kilometers away. The outside of the device was described as having 8 dragons with balls in their mouths and 8 open-mouthed frogs around the base which could catch fallen balls (and indicate direction to the source). If there was an earthquake the dragon facing its location would drop a ball into the mouth of a frog below. The Book of Later Han claims that the device was triggered by an event, which was too subtle for people to feel but that the west-facing dragon drop its ball. Officials doubted the device worked as intended, but several days later a messenger arrived from the west and reported that an earthquake had occurred in Longxi (modern Gansu Province). So, the court acknowledged it in fact worked.

Unfortunately, no ancient Chinese seismoscopes have survived and details of the mechanism are sparse. The description of the detected earthquake was written much later. So, we cannot be certain about how it worked precisely; some even doubt that it did. Later Chinese inventors were not able to reconstruct the device. However, a series of modern seismologists have put forward a series of reconstructions. There are several ways a pendulum could trigger a ball to fall. Some of the questions include: was it a regular pendulum? Was it an inverted pendulum? How was its motion transferred to the appropriate dragon and not to any other dragons? How it avoid "false positives" due to other sources of shaking? 

As a geophysicist myself, I find the contemporary reconstructions of Feng Rui and others pretty convincing, so that's what I have illustrated. These scientist argue that the device would have detected horizontal motions due to surface waves which would only be due to earthquakes, and would not be set off by vertical motions (which can be caused by earthquakes or nearby shaking, say, due to people). So they built a reconstruction which they argue is consistent with the description, but detects Rayleigh surface waves. They argue by adding a second ball inside the device, it could have avoided having two opposing dragons triggered. In their model, illustrated in my print, when there is an incoming wave, for instance, from the west, the pendulum would move from west to east. They made a hollow inside, so the pendulum would drop a ball, falling on the west side as it moves off-centre. The ball follows one of 8 radiating tracks, then pushes a lever connected to the dragon mouth and the west-side ball - and no others - would fall. This would correctly identify the direction.

They also make arguments explaining that some reconstructions are not the right style of urn or dragon, arguing that Han Dynasty dragons would have been much simpler than the fancy Ming Dynasty ones shown on some reconstructions. So my illustration tries to respect the archeology of ancient Han artifacts, as well as a mechanism which apparently avoids the pitfalls of previous reconstructions. I also included a waveform, which seismologists will recognize as a horizontal Rayleigh wave (detected by a modern seismograph).

Sources

Zhang Heng, wikipedia, accessed January 2023

Feng, Rui and Yu Yan-xiang, Zhang Heng's Seismometer and Long earthquake in AD 134, Acta Seismologica Sinica, 19, 704-719 (2006)

Feng, R., Wu, Y. Research on history of Chinese seismology. Earthq Sci 23, 243-257 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11589-010-0720-z

Hong-Sen Yan, Kuo-Hung Hsiao, Reconstruction design of the lost seismoscope of ancient China, Mechanism and Machine Theory, Volume 42, Issue 12, 2007, Pages 1601-1617, ISSN 0094-114X, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mechmachtheory.2007.01.003.

Zhang Heng Seismoscope, Atlas Obscura 

Jamie Rigg, The ancient earthquake detector that puzzled modern historians, engaged, September 28, 2018

Andrew Robinson, The world's first seismometer used a toad to catch an earthquake, New Scientist, 30 November 2016


Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Pacific tsunami

{image from Preliminary Earthquake Report
U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center
World Data Center for Seismology, Denver}

At 17:48:11 UTC (which was 1:48 pm EDT) today, a magnitude 8.0 earthquake hit on the Tonga trench, just off Samoa. A tsunami has been generated. No reports yet on the number of casualties in Samoa. Authorities are monitoring the risk around the Pacific basin and in Hawaii.

When I worked for the GSC, I knew when a large earthquake hit because the seismologist on duty would run down the hallway, or I'd see it on the seismometers on display, or I'd arrive at work and there would be a news crew. It got so that seeing the news crew was like arriving at work to find the flag at half-staff. It made me sad, prior to knowing why. Now I learn these things from the American Geophysical Union twitter feed.

Earthquake prediction remains an elusive goal. Successes are few (and are either the product of dumb luck, or on the most intensively studied fault system in the world, where population density happens to coincide with wealth and the means for investment, technology and expertise on the San Andreas - and even there, while a tremendous achievement, the the prediction was more vague than one would hope). I do not think this will improve any time soon; it in in the nature of earthquakes that probabilities are likely to be the best information earth scientists can provide. Unless there is some measurable, consistent precursor yet to be discovered, or more convincingly documented, there is not much which can be done. The makes one feel helpless and frustrated. It is one reason I did some research on earthquake hazard in Cascadia (British Columbia, Oregon, Washington and northern California), which is not directly tied to the bulk of my research.

Tsunamis on the other hand, are much more predictable. Since they are triggered by things like major earthquakes, or marine slumps and slides, there are measurable precursors. In the Pacific, where industrialized nations have recognized their risk for decades*, there is a well-established tsunami warning system. There are tide gauges and wave rider buoys and satellite altimetry data all available in real-time. It's hard to think about how much of the loss of life after the Sumatran tsunami on Boxing Day, 2004 was preventable. (It was triggered by a staggering 9.2 event which released an order of magnitude more energy than today's event).

Events like these make me wish I could do something. The instrument we deployed recently, in the North Pacific has and will see the effects of this. The energy from an earthquake of that magnitude radiates outward in all directions and makes the earth ring like a bell. The oscillations will already have been recorded by our gravitymeter (which is sensitive to acceleration and hence displacement of the seafloor). This would have happened approximately 12 minutes after the event. The tsunami waves are not traveling anywhere near as fast. Should it hit Hawaii (which is not a given) it will not arrive until 7:18 EDT (23:18 UTC) and it would be hours later when and if it reaches my instrument. If it does, the differential pressure gauge will record it. The waves I use to make measurements obey the same physics and are of similar frequencies as tsunami waves. So what interests me is have we deployed an experiment meant to image what is below the seafloor, which could also provide useful additional information to either the numerical tsunami modellers or to the warning system. Then, at least, I would feel like I was doing something to help.

*or centuries, in the case of Japan. The Haida of BC preserved their memories of the 1700 event in their oral tradition. The earthquake which triggered that tsunami has been estimated to have been a magnitude 9.0.